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Seasonal forecasting

Forecasts that learn your business.

stocura watches twelve months of demand, finds the seasonal pattern in each SKU, and projects the next three. No spreadsheets, no manual smoothing.

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app.stocura.com/sku/OW-4412
Olwyn linen tote · natural
OW-4412 · 28-day lead
Reorder soon
On hand18
Run-rate4.2/d
Cover4d
Suggested142
today
How it works

From two years of orders to a three-month forecast.

01

Pull demand history

We import up to 24 months of order data from Shopify and Cin7. SKUs with less history fall back to category-level patterns.

02

Detect seasonality per SKU

Each SKU is fit independently — your candle business and your garden tools don’t share a season. We surface the pattern visually so you can sanity-check it.

03

Project & track pace

Three-month forecasts feed the Reorder Queue. Month-to-date pacing tells you when reality is diverging from the forecast — early.

What you get

Sharper signal, less spreadsheet.

Per-SKU seasonality

Not flat averages. Each SKU has its own season, surfaced as a 12-month chart you can read in three seconds.

Month-to-date pacing

Pacing percentage tells you how the month is tracking against forecast — so you can react before the month ends.

Backtested visibly

Toggle “show last year’s forecast vs actuals” to see how the model performed before trusting it forward.

Promotion-aware

Tag past promotions and we’ll exclude them from the baseline, so a Black Friday spike doesn’t become next year’s expectation.

New SKU fallback

Six weeks of data is enough to start. Newer SKUs borrow patterns from their product family while their own signal builds.

Manual overrides

Your judgement matters. Bump a forecast up or down per-SKU when you know something the model doesn’t.

“We finally caught the November spike before November. That paid for the year.”
Pri Mahajan · Buyer, Harbourline Trading
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